The Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets are playing in the second round of the NBA Playoffs, with Game 4 up next.

The Timberwolves are a 2.5-point favorite against the Nuggets when Timberwolves and Nuggets hit the court. The matchup’s over/under is set at 204.5.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Odds

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Saturday at 11:29 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

  • Spread: Minnesota -2.5
  • Total: 204.5
  • Moneyline: Minnesota -147, Denver +124

Nuggets at Timberwolves odds, spread, & more


  • Pick ATS: Timberwolves (- 2.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (204.5)

  • Prediction:
    Timberwolves 113 – Nuggets 108


  • Minnesota has been chosen as the favorite in 61 games this year and has walked away with the win 46 times (75.4%) in those games.
  • This year, Minnesota has won 40 of 50 games when listed as at least -147 or better on the moneyline.
  • Minnesota has an implied victory probability of 59.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Denver has been the underdog on the moneyline 10 total times this season. Denver has finished 4-6 in those games.
  • Denver has gone 2-2 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer (50%).
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, Denver has an implied win probability of 44.6%.

Against the spread

  • The 113 points per game the Timberwolves score are just 3.4 more points than the Nuggets give up (109.6).
  • When Minnesota scores more than 109.6 points, it is 35-17-1 against the spread and 43-10 overall.
  • Denver has put together a 35-26-2 ATS record and a 53-10 overall record in games it scores more than 106.5 points.
  • Minnesota is 36-22-3 against the spread and 51-10 overall when it gives up fewer than 114.9 points.
  • The Timberwolves are at the 18th spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (113 PPG), while the Nuggets allow the sixth-fewest points per game (109.6) in the league.
  • Denver’s squad is currently the 14th-ranked scoring team in the NBA (114.9 PPG), while Minnesota’s team is best in points allowed per game (106.5).
  • The Timberwolves have out-scored their opponents by a total of 529 points this season (6.5 points per game on average), and the Nuggets have put up 431 more points than their opponents on the year (5.3 per game).
  • Minnesota has an average implied point total of 113.9 this season, which is 9.9 points higher than its implied total in Sunday’s game (104).
  • This season, Minnesota has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (104) 73 times.
  • Denver’s average implied point total on the season (116.5 points) is 15.5 points higher than its implied total in this matchup (101 points).

How to watch Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

  • Game Day: Sunday, May 12, 2024
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Arena: Target Center
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